AIMech AI

Pairwise Markov tree

Model Families AIMech:PairwiseMarkovTree DRAFT
Aliases: Arbre de Markov couple
A latent-variable tree-model family whose paired hidden and observed states factor into a root distribution and parent-to-child conditional kernels on a fixed rooted tree, without requiring the hidden marginal to be Markov on that tree.
Identity Notes & Concept Scope Pairwise denotes Z_s=(X_s,Y_s), not generic pairwise edge potentials. The tree is the stochastic dependence topology across sites, rather than a decision-tree classifier, hierarchical mixture-of-experts gate structure, or hidden Markov decision tree’s within-time state hierarchy. An ordinary memoryless-emission hidden Markov tree is a constrained special case. A path is a degenerate tree, but the family permits branching dependencies absent from a sequential chain. No normalized identity match was found across all 442 pinned AIO labels and all scoped synonyms and 391 preceding native IDs, names and aliases for the three selected concepts. Full-checkout fixed-string searches included ignored and hidden files in both worktree and main, yielding 9 and 9 matched lines; all 7 unique contents were read. Hits are prior leads and references, not records of the proposed identities. All 89 semantic label/synonym hits and 21 fully annotated exact AIO CLASS nodes with outgoing edges were read. Twenty-two contextual YAMLs were byte-verified after prior full reading and five freshly read, totaling 21 generated and six native contextual records. Short acronym identities were compared across the complete normalized inventory. Absence is bounded to the pinned source, maintained collection and inspected semantic neighborhood.

Claims & Grounded Evidence

1 Claim
Mechanism #method
On a finite fixed rooted tree with one parent for each nonroot site, specify a normalized root law p(z_r) and normalized kernels K_s(z_s|z_parent(s)); their product defines the joint paired distribution. At fixed complete y, the hidden posterior factors on the same rooted tree. Set beta_s(x_s)=1 at leaves and compute each internal beta_s(x_s) as the product over children t of sum_(x_t) K_t(x_t,y_t|x_s,y_s)*beta_t(x_t). The root posterior is proportional to p(x_r,y_r)*beta_r(x_r). Each child posterior transition at fixed parent is proportional to K_t*beta_t and normalized over x_t. Propagate the root marginal downward through these conditional kernels to obtain all hidden-site marginals. Classical independent-emission hidden Markov trees result from root pi(x_r)*b(y_r|x_r) and child kernels A(x_t|x_s)*b(y_t|x_t). General joint kernels can leave hidden siblings dependent given only their hidden parent, so the hidden marginal need not itself be a Markov tree.

⚠️ Curated Limitations & Negative Results

Artificial Intelligence Ontology (AIO) Grounding

Mapped AIO Classes
AIO Target Class Mapping Relation Mapping Rationale
AIO:BayesianNetwork
Bayesian Network
broad_match The joint paired-state law has a normalized directed acyclic factorization on a rooted tree, a restricted Bayesian-network topology. The mapping concerns paired stochastic states and imposes no causal interpretation or requirement that the hidden marginal preserve that graph.

Evidence Sources & Primary Literature

1 Source
Source ID Publication / Document Type / Access Reference & Checksum
method-source
Wojciech Pieczynski
primary paper
full_text
ID: doi:10.1016/S1631-073X(02)02430-5
sha256:7834f53dcb3b…

Curation Provenance

Curator: Codex
Method: ai_assisted
Model: GPT-6
Created: 2026-10-11T21:03:30Z
Updated: 2026-10-11T21:03:30Z
Source File: data/curated/PairwiseMarkovTree.yaml